Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.209470 2.408301 2.620803 2.865460 3.140159 3.439976 3.793193
2025-11-30 1.958334 2.236303 2.551818 2.938990 3.404733 3.951321 4.647809
2025-12-07 1.753784 2.068601 2.441398 2.920366 3.526642 4.278434 5.297037
2025-12-14 1.596858 1.931424 2.340964 2.886766 3.606839 4.541491 5.875710
2025-12-21 1.442427 1.779067 2.201989 2.782271 3.573836 4.640561 6.231400
2025-12-28 1.359751 1.708626 2.157972 2.792180 3.686215 4.937066 6.887476
2026-01-04 1.297881 1.658900 2.134662 2.824045 3.826452 5.280175 7.647564
2026-01-11 1.245940 1.617534 2.117668 2.860315 3.972157 5.640837 8.475598
2026-01-18 1.197969 1.577522 2.098331 2.889388 4.106517 5.993638 9.333044
2026-01-25 1.147788 1.530689 2.065250 2.893956 4.201199 6.289897 10.130459
2026-02-01 1.082467 1.458310 1.990372 2.829006 4.179208 6.390964 10.591045
2026-02-08 1.031594 1.403757 1.937913 2.793882 4.200565 6.563836 11.202973
2026-02-15 0.989323 1.360380 1.900687 2.781751 4.261647 6.816455 12.016416
2026-02-22 0.971224 1.351677 1.914991 2.852456 4.468107 7.349151 13.476006
2026-03-01 0.933050 1.310643 1.876979 2.834521 4.518459 7.599637 14.388465
2026-03-08 0.894518 1.267074 1.832418 2.802177 4.539539 7.795336 15.212069
2026-03-15 0.843546 1.202055 1.750662 2.701569 4.428278 7.721249 15.410383
2026-03-22 0.819999 1.178572 1.733924 2.711111 4.520648 8.061273 16.637665
2026-03-29 0.802379 1.163476 1.729730 2.741793 4.654762 8.500805 18.191823
2026-04-05 0.786637 1.150543 1.728204 2.776713 4.799475 8.978962 19.943920
2026-04-12 0.770433 1.136065 1.723204 2.804700 4.932436 9.447039 21.772397
2026-04-19 0.750765 1.115066 1.706087 2.809098 5.017744 9.818218 23.414058
2026-04-26 0.720216 1.075028 1.654746 2.746570 4.959932 9.853042 24.079462